Momentum Trades

Author name: mome2143

Momentum Options, Daily Update

Dow Recovers 18,000

Pre-Market Update: The bulls cleared additional layers of resistance on Tuesday as the market closed higher for the fourth-straight session. The VIX is relaxing, and second-quarter earnings are coming in well versus Wall Street’s forecasts. Geopolitical headwinds remain, but the indexes are once again eyeing historic highs.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Bulls Hold Bottom Trading Ranges

The market hates uncertainty, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see lower lows this week. The bulls appear to be on the brink of losing their grip, but the bears are in the same camp if Greece can somehow work out a deal to make the markets around the world happy. Earnings expectations are low, and it will be important for companies to beat the lower bar for profits and revenue expectations. While I’m still hopeful that a continued rebound is in the works, I’m remain wary of headline news and continued volatility if 20 on the VIX fails to hold.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Rally Fades as Resistance Holds; VIX Clears 20

Pre-Market Update: The bulls made a run past the resistance levels that served as prior support on Thursday morning, but the bulk of the day’s gains evaporated during the second half of trading. The indexes ended the session giving mixed signals, as global headwinds continue to cause uncertainty. The VIX ended the session higher after tripping 20 for the first time since early February.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Alcoa (AA) Misses Estimates

Pre-Market Update: It was a frustrating day for Wall Street on Wednesday, as the halt of trading on the New York Stock Exchange lasted into the final hour of the session. Although the “technical glitch” was not blamed on a cyber-attack, other financial websites went dark for a period of time as well. The technical damage that has been done to the major indices is now reaching a breaking point, but the bulls held the last lines of defense into the close.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Trading Ranges, 10-year Uptrend Lines in Play

Greece’s Finance Minister resigned, so a new deal could be reached even though the country is in arrears and is a complicated mess. It remains to be seen if other countries in the euro will feel jaded if Greece gets a kitchen pass but it is too early to see what domino might fall next. In the meantime, our portfolio is light and well positioned to add new trades to play further weakness, or to add bullish trades, if the trading ranges and 10-year uptrend lines hold.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Trading Ranges, 10-year Uptrend Lines in Play

Pre-Market Update: The technical picture continues to show additional weakness but any damage done today and this week will be blamed directly on Greece. The country’s citizens voted “no” by more than a 60% to 40% margin against further bailout conditions and aid. The decision to go it alone could result in pushing the country closer to bankruptcy and an exit from the euro currency. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if new developments came about in the coming weeks to still “save” the country.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Alcoa (AA) Looking to Impress Wall Street; New Trade (WWE)

Mid-Market Update: Alcoa (AA, $10.94, down $0.21) is scheduled to announce earnings next Wednesday, July 8, and shares could make a big move depending on how Wall Street reacts. The company used to kick start earnings season, but it carries less significance now after being booted from the Dow. However, I still like to watch its results come in, and a juicy earnings trade could be waiting in the wings as well.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Wall Street on Edge

Mid-Market Update: The bears are on track for the weekly (and possibly monthly) win, as they continue their attack on near-term support levels. Fridays have been a train wreck for the Dow recently, as it has fallen in all of the past five Friday sessions, but Nike (NKE, $109.64, up $4.42) is trying to help the blue-chips end that losing streak today.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Wall Street Preparing for Mid-June Swoon

For now, Wall Street’s biggest worry has moved from the Fed to Greece, again. While it is likely inevitable the country will default and leave the eurozone, talks of the PIGS returned. Concerns over Portugal, Italy, and Spain having a domino effect on the euro with a Greece exit heated up. To make matters more interesting, Russia is joining the party and could dance with Greece.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged

Pre-Market Update: Wall Street got its wish on Wednesday, as the Fed left interest rates unchanged. In the meeting minutes, 15 of 17 “Fed Heads” still indicated that the first rate hike should take place this year, just not right now. Although trading was choppy, the bulls prevailed for the second-straight session to keep resistance and all-time highs in play.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

All Eyes on the Fed

Quarterly reports will be the next market catalyst following the Fed news, so there will be plenty of action to play between now and into late July. The portfolio is well positioned to play the next major trend, as we continue to bank profits despite the incredibly tough trading ranges that we have been in for months.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

All Eyes on The Fed

Pre-Market Update: The market ended mixed last week, but the small-caps were able to gain some ground, while tech pulled back and held near-term support. The move back to resistance mid-week and to the top of the trading ranges had Wall Street in a fit, as many of the suits-and-ties have been, and still are, betting on a pullback. With the Federal Reserve making an announcement this week, the action will continue to stay hot, and it’s possible that the market could get thrown a curveball.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Stay Aggressive

Pre-Market Update: The bulls pushed the next layers of resistance on Thursday’s open, but they had to deal with the intraday drama over Greece, which slowed their momentum. Reports that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) halted bailout talks with the country caused a slight pullback before the market made another push towards all-time highs.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Small-Cap, Financial Stocks Save Bulls

This week promises to be exciting, as does the rest of June. The current sector rotation and divergence has Wall Street confused once again, but they don’t study the market like I do. Retail and restaurant stocks have taken a beating on the rise in oil prices, or so analysts say, but I have been highlighting the strength in the financial and small-cap stocks.

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