Momentum Trades

Author name: mome2143

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Pushes Upper Resistance

Mid-Market Update: I spent the majority of last night and this morning looking for potential New Trades, and I have 15 serious candidates on my watch list. Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), Best Buy (BBY), Microsoft (MSFT), Energous (WATT) and Caterpillar (CAT) are in the top five for possible trades that look to be in play. However, the last thing I want to do is risk money when I’m unsure of market direction. With the S&P still within a massive trading range, anything could happen following Wednesday’s FOMC update.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Apple (APPL) Chart Looks Nasty

Mid-Market Update: Apple’s (AAPL, $97.61, down $1.22) Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) is set to kick off shortly, and the event has some on Wall Street bustling with enthusiasm. The talking heads are calling the WWDC a big deal and want to hear strong announcements. While some analysts have already come out to say that investors should “buy any dip” in the stock, shares look weak on a technical level and, personally, I would be running for the hills.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Push, Bulls Pull

Pre-Market Update: Thursday’s pullback represented a tug-of-war between the bulls and bears that left slight hints about how today’s action might play out. I don’t expect a breakout or breakdown from the mini trading ranges that are forming until maybe next week. However, today’s action could provide pivotal clues as to how we should prepare for new trades over the next few weeks.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Blue-Chips Hold 18,000

Pre-Market Update: The bulls showed some follow-through on Wednesday and pushed key resistance levels in their bid to return to all-time highs. The bears are still lingering, but they seem reluctant to engage. I’m still expecting a strong surge towards the market’s upper resistance levels, and that could come this week or next.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Zillow (Z) Zooms on Lawsuit Settlement

Mid-Market Update: Shares of Zillow (Z, $32.08, up $1.75) are surging today following the company’s $130 million settlement with News Corp’s Move Inc. and the National Association of Realtors. The two-year-long legal battle over trade secrets could have cost the company nearly $2 billion in damages. The fact that the company won’t have to pay the 90%+ difference between these two figures was a huge windfall, and it puts the issue to rest.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Holds 13.50 Despite Rally

Pre-Market Update: The slick-talking pros spent some time debating why the market surged on Monday, with roughly half of them saying that the dovish comments by Fed Chair Janet Yellen were bullish for the market. Anticipation is building for the June Fed meeting that may or may not result in an interest-rate hike, but Yellen instead reiterated that gradual rate hikes are likely appropriate. The other half of the suits-and-ties were citing the spike in oil for the rally past resistance.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Earnings for the Week

Mid-Market Update: I profiled a number of possible long and short trade setups on gold and the financial sector based on observable resistance and support levels in this morning’s Pre-Market Update. This afternoon, I also want to scan the week’s upcoming earnings announcements for a possible trade, although they are a little trickier to identify.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Baby Steps Higher

Pre-Market Update: Wednesday’s action carried over from Tuesday’s session, and the major indices traded within a tight range to give the bulls the overall market win. The bears did make some noise, however, as they pushed lower lows at the open before rolling over. The bulls then went on to test higher highs into the close after holding support, but it was another dead-money session.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Golden Cross Forms in Small-Caps; New Trade (QQQ)

Pre-Market Update: The bulls have weathered the storm in May, and they could come out of it smelling like roses. The “sell in May and go away” theme was bearish for much of the month, but it eventually turned into a buying frenzy. Today is the last trading day of the month, so the score still hasn’t been settled. However, I have a good feel for where there market could be going and how we are going to play the next few weeks of action.

Momentum Options, Daily Update

VIX Back Below 15 Again

Pre-Market Update: We tried our best to play yesterday’s rebound rally and the surge past resistance with iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM, $112.94, up $2.28) calls, but our orders ultimately went unfilled. The pros are now questioning whether the blast higher was a short-covering rally or a dead-cat bounce, which are fancy terms meant to confuse the rookies like you and I, but it is trouble playing ball with them sometimes.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

May Option Expiration

Mid-Market Update: I was hinting this morning that today could be bullish, and the market is up with another half of the session to go. I mentioned that if today didn’t go the bears’ way, next week could be bullish. However, the way the following week plays out will have a major effect on our trades, as we are holding June expiration options.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Death by a Thousand Cuts

Pre-Market Update: While today’s headline might be scary, it reflects my thoughts on the current market action. Thursday’s pullback can be tied to a variety of factors, but there was still some bullish action going on despite the negativity. The bears have controlled the week so far, and the lower trading ranges for the major indices are in play. However, if the bulls battle back today, next week will be interesting — to say the least.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Wacky Wednesday

Pre-Market Update: I felt that the headline above was appropriate for this morning’s Pre-Market Update considering the action during yesterday’s trading session, which included wild price swings, mixed results among the major indices and some bullish and bearish signs. Obviously, the Fed minutes were in play, and volatility was heightened, so let’s go figure it out in simple terms, or at least try to do so.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Earnings for the Week

Mid-Market Update: First-quarter earnings season is winding down, but there will still be some major announcements throughout the rest of May and into June. Second-quarter earnings starts in early July, so the market will largely be driven by economic and geopolitical concerns as well as technical support and resistance levels over the next six weeks.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Head-and-Shoulders Pattern Looking Bearish; New Trade (XRT)

Pre-Market Update: The bears pushed lower lows on Friday despite opening slightly higher. It was the third-straight week of losses for the bulls, and the Dow and S&P 500 closed below their 50-day moving averages. Volatility also closed above a key level of resistance, and the “head-and-shoulders” technical pattern I warned about a few weeks ago has finally developed.

Momentum Options, Daily Update

Bulls Push Upper Resistance

Pre-Market Update: The bulls showed some moxie on Tuesday and regained some of their lost momentum as they pushed the market’s upper resistance levels. Volatility also slid to its lowest level in two weeks, although the bears held support. Lost in the shuffle was that the market could be on the verge of re-entering the upper trading range from early April that has limited upside.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Nonfarm Payrolls Disappoint

Mid-Market Update: Heading into this week, I mentioned that there was a good chance that a fresh trading range could develop and that lower lows could be made. Today’s action was crucial in determining whether or not the market’s backup support levels would come into play following this morning’s jobs report and, while support is holding to some degree, it is getting stretched.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

A Message from Mid-April

Mid-Market Update: My watch list is full of bearish index option trades, including put options on the PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), as well as call options on the iPath S&P 500 VIX Futures ETN (VXX). Additionally, I’m looking at bearish trades on Potash (POT) and Cisco (CSCO), but I’m bullish on Facebook (FB) as long as $115 holds.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Closes Back Below 15

Pre-Market Update: The bulls rebounded on Monday to get the bears off of their backs, and they were able to regain key resistance levels for the market that had previously served as support. The higher close to start the week was bullish, as was the fact that the VIX fell back below 15. The rest of the week promises to be exciting as earnings season reaches its peak, and Friday’s unemployment numbers could cause some fireworks as well.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Facebook (FB) in Blue-Sky Territory; Trade Alert (ORCL)

Mid-Market Update: The bulls are working on a continued rebound today and, this time around, tech stocks are joining the ride higher. Monster earnings results from Facebook (FB, $118.95, up $10.06) have propelled shares to fresh 52-week and all-time highs. The company beat Wall Street’s estimate by a whopping $0.15 with earnings of $0.77 a share. Revenue came in at $5.38 billion versus expectations for $5.26 billion.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Mixed Action Slightly Bullish

Pre-Market Update: The bulls weathered another bearish storm on Wednesday with help from the blue-chips, although the market closed mixed. Financial stocks showed some strength following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged yesterday, but they gave back most of their gains by the close of trading. This also helped the market salvage the pullback in tech, but the action remains choppy.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Watching the VIX

Mid-Market Update: I talk about the S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 13.98, down 0.10) daily because it is one of the technical tools I use to analyze the market. There are many others indicators I use to gauge market direction in addition to the VIX, but I want to cover a possible trade that is on my watch list this afternoon.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Push Fresh Support

Pre-Market Update: The bears had one of their better days of the month during Thursday’s market pullback. On the other hand, the bulls have been trying to build upon last week’s momentum, but they have fallen shy of short-term resistance. The earnings that were released after the close yesterday were disappointing, and backup support could come into play as the news weighs on the major indices.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Bulls Pushing Higher Highs; Trade Alerts (LSCC, PLNT, RAVE)

The first half of Wednesday’s action was slightly choppy despite futures showing a positive open. The bears’ attempt to mount any momentum and make lower lows stalled ahead of Wall Street’s lunch break, as rising support held. The bulls controlled the second half of the action while pushing higher highs, but they continue to struggle with near-term resistance.

Momentum Options, Daily Update

Bulls Pushing Higher Highs; Profit Alert (WATT)

Pre-Market Update: The first half of Wednesday’s action was slightly choppy despite futures showing a positive open. The bears’ attempt to mount any momentum and make lower lows stalled ahead of Wall Street’s lunch break, as rising support held. The bulls controlled the second half of the action while pushing higher highs, but they continue to struggle with near-term resistance.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Tech Slacks in Overall Bullish Session

Pre-Market Update: Despite the negative tone, the bulls performed well on Tuesday’s open and went on to push higher highs. The bears made a little intraday noise and took a stab at fresh support before rolling over to play dead. Today’s action could provide good clues as to whether higher highs are in store the rest of the week or if the market has reached a short-term peak.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Small-Caps Blast Past 200-Day Moving Average; VIX Falls Below 13.50

Pre-Market Update: The Dow got all the headlines on Monday, as the index closed above 18,000 for the first time since last July. I’m more focused on other things, however, and I mentioned that International Business Machines (IBM, $152.53, up $0.81) could slow the market’s momentum if the company disappointed Wall Street with its quarterly results. While the company absolutely surprised analysts with a beat on the top and bottom lines, a tempered forecast sent shares tumbling 5% in after-hours trading.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

IBM Leads Earnings for the Week

Mid-Market Update: Futures were forecasting a weak open throughout the night while I was wrapping up my weekend research, and global markets were in the red. Much of the weakness was due to the drop in the price of oil, as the zombies across the world decided against a production cut in their latest meeting. To make a long story short, the bulls have blown off the negative reaction and the drop in oil prices today to push the market higher.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Nasdaq Pushing 5,000

Pre-Market Update: The bulls showed their usual April strength last week as the market broke out to fresh highs for the year. Friday’s slight pullback in the major indices caught all the media attention following another tight session. However, what was missed, or not reported, by the talking heads was the strength in the small-caps and the deflating VIX.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

April Option Expiration Usually Bullish

Pre-Market Update: The battle between the bulls and the bears ended in a draw on Thursday, as the market seesawed within a tight trading range before ending pretty much flat. Although it was a boring session overall, the consolidation going into today’s session was a good sign following a strong week. With regular April monthly options expiring after the close today, there could be some movement in what has traditionally been a bullish day for the market.

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