Momentum Trades

Author name: mome2143

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Closes Above 17.50

Pre-Market Update: The bulls spent Tuesday’s session defending key support levels, which ultimately held for the second-straight day. The bears are showing strength, but much of the losses have come as a result of the backtest to support after Friday’s rebound rally. Volatility spiked to higher levels than we saw on Monday, which indicates that we still need to be cautious, as the “fear gauge” cleared resistance.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Another Backtest to Support

Pre-Market Update: The market sputtered from the start of trading on Monday until the closing bell, but the major indices were able to finish the session off of their intraday lows. There was some buying activity into the close, as support held on the pullback, but volatility stayed elevated. I mentioned that the whipsaw action could continue going into next week, but that could be the perfect opportunity to add new bullish or bearish trades.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Oil Stays Weak

Mid-Market Update: Futures were slightly higher heading into this morning’s open, but the bulls fell flat in early trading and have struggled ever since. The major indices have been bleeding red the entire session, but the losses are holding at about 1%. Volatility has spiked once again, but the bears are having trouble clearing and holding their key resistance levels.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Trading Range Continues With Higher Volatility

Pre-Market Update: The bulls rebounded on Friday get the weekly win following a backtest to support. Fed-speak, economic news, overseas stimulus shenanigans and geopolitical tensions all worried Wall Street, and the bears took advantage of the weakness. However, the bears could be ready to roll over once the current trading ranges are resolved, as the charts remain bullish.

Momentum Options

New Trades (MDT, MGM, GLD)

Buy to open the MDT January 77.50 calls (MDT160115C00077500, $1.09, down $0.19) at current levels.

Buy to open the MGM January 25 calls (MGM160115C00025000, $0.53, up $0.14) at current levels.

Buy to open the GLD January 95 puts (GLD160115P00095000, $0.51, up $0.14) at current levels.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Clear Major Resistance Levels

Pre-Market Update: The market cleared its major resistance levels on Tuesday despite the release of weaker-than-expected economic news after the open. The ISM manufacturing index reading came in at 48.6 for November, which was its worst level in six years. This was well below expectations for a print of 50.5, and it may have spooked some of the Fed heads. However, the bulls brushed the bad news off to push higher highs into the closing bell.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Small-Caps Clear 1,200

Despite the repeated “market top” calls throughout 2015, the major indices are just 2% away, on average, from setting fresh all-time highs. The small-caps, on the other hand, are roughly 8% away from setting lifetime highs, so they have a little more work to do. However, the Russell 2000 has led this month’s continued rally and could make up ground, as a rising dollar benefits small-caps more than larger, multi-national conglomerates.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Market Mixed for the Week

The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 15.19, down 0.74) traded in negative territory throughout the session with the low checking-in at 15.05. A move and close below 15 today would be fabulous. Resistance is at 16.50-17.50.

The Dow is lower by 10 points for the week, while the S&P is down less than a point. The Nasdaq is up a twelve-pack while the Russell is up 23 points, or 2%.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Market Mixed for the Week

Pre-Market Update: The Dow is lower by 10 points for the week, while the S&P is down less than a point. The Nasdaq is up a twelve-pack while the Russell is up 23 points, or 2%.

As a reminder, I won’t be publishing the Mid-Market Update this afternoon due to today’s shortened session. The market will close at 1 p.m. (EST). I could have a New Trade or Profit Alert but, if you don’t hear from me by noon EST, have a good Black Friday and weekend!

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Watching the Small-Caps

Mid-Market Update: I’m expecting a slight uptrend this week and a possible bigger move next week as Wall Street and fund managers get back to a full week of work. Volume should be light with the shortened trading week. It will also be the turn into December and the suits-and-ties will need to show some positive yearly results for their clients.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Holds 17.50

Pre-Market Update: The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 16.99, up 0.14) spiked to a high of 18.26 on the opening weakness before holding 17.50-17 throughout the session. A move above 17.50 into the weekend would be a slightly bearish development. A close below 15.50-15 are the confirmation levels we are looking for to confirm possible higher market highs

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Bears Strike Back

The bears snapped their six-week losing streak last week while cracking several layers of support on the major indices. The damage was severe, and the Dow and S&P 500 fell back into negative territory for the year. This week promises to be just as volatile, as geopolitical events are likely to come into play.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Strike Back

Pre-Market Update: The bears snapped their six-week losing streak last week while cracking several layers of support on the major indices. The damage was severe, and the Dow and S&P 500 fell back into negative territory for the year. This week promises to be just as volatile, as geopolitical events are likely to come into play.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Push Backup Support

Pre-Market Update: The bears made a statement on Thursday, and the market took one step forward before taking two steps back. The action worsened into the closing bell, as speeches by various Fed Heads indicated that they seem split on a December rate hike. Some of the zombies are still hawkish, while others remain dovish despite the recent babble and worry over an almost certain quarter-point hike.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Fed Heads in Focus

Mid-Market Update: Five of six “Fed Heads,” including Fed Chair Janet Yellen, have given speeches today about the state of the economy and a possible December rate hike, with Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer scheduled to speak after the close. While their rhetoric will mean little until next month, the market is reacting in a negative way, as the bears have cracked near-term support.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Cisco Systems (CSCO) in Focus

Mid-Market Update: Cisco Systems (CSCO, $28.01, up $0.03) is scheduled to release its latest earnings report after Thursday’s close, and the results could give tech a lift if they come in better than expected. While “new tech” has been hot over the past few years, “old tech” is still shining given the recent earnings results from Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC).

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Holds 17.50

Pre-Market Update: The bulls snapped a sloppy four-session losing streak with Tuesday’s mixed win, although tech closed slightly lower on the day. Apple (AAPL, $116.77, down $3.80) weighed heavily on the sector, as shares dropped 3% and fell back below their 200-day moving average on concerns that the company’s supply chain has weakened.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Crack Fresh Support

Pre-Market Update: The bears controlled Monday’s action from start to finish, as the major indices pulled back by 1% each. The bulls made a final-hour rally off of the lows, but they failed to hold the market’s key support levels, which got slightly stretched. One day doesn’t make a trend, but volatility is rising, and more Fed officials are scheduled to speak later this week.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Market Turns Slightly Cautious Following Fed Comments

The market pulled back on Wednesday following more rhetoric from the Fed about a possible rate hike in December. The zombies wanted to sound tougher in their stance on interest rates and to make their smoke-and-mirror show less predictable. However, it remains to be seen whether Fed Chair Janet Yellen was crying wolf again or if her words will be the real deal come December.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Market Turns Slightly Cautious Following Fed Comments

Pre-Market Update: The market pulled back on Wednesday following more rhetoric from the Fed about a possible rate hike in December. The zombies wanted to sound tougher in their stance on interest rates and to make their smoke-and-mirror show less predictable. However, it remains to be seen whether Fed Chair Janet Yellen was crying wolf again or if her words will be the real deal come December.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Small-Caps Lead Charge

Pre-Market Update: The bears got a rare Friday win, but the bulls won last week overall to cap off a fabulous October. However, the recovery from the late-August lows wasn’t enough to get all of the major indices back into positive territory for the year. The blue-chips and small-caps are still slacking, but they are making higher highs and higher lows nonetheless. This is a positive sign for the bulls, but there are other concerns that need to be addressed, as volatility is still slightly elevated.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Regain Momentum, Push Resistance

Mid-Market Update: The bulls are trying to avoid a three-session slide, and they are on track to do so if their current gains hold. Today’s push towards the market’s upper resistance levels has recovered most of the losses from the pullback at the end of last week, but the final hour of trading today will be crucial, as it could determine how the rest of the week plays out.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

October Rally Best in Four Years; Trade Alert (SBUX)

Pre-Market Update: The bears got a rare Friday win, but the bulls won last week overall to cap off a fabulous October. However, the recovery from the late-August lows wasn’t enough to get all of the major indices back into positive territory for the year. The blue-chips and small-caps are still slacking, but they are making higher highs and higher lows nonetheless. This is a positive sign for the bulls, but there are other concerns that need to be addressed, as volatility is still slightly elevated.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Take a Breather

Pre-Market Update: The bulls tried to keep their momentum going on Thursday following Wednesday’s test to the market’s upper resistance levels, but the major indices ultimately pulled back amidst a lack of buying conviction. The bears didn’t do much damage, however, as the fresh support levels that had served as prior resistance held, and the VIX stayed below 15.

Momentum Stocks Weekly

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged

The bulls were testing the market’s upper resistance levels ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, but the initial rally faded following the news that the Fed elected to keep interest rates unchanged. The zombies said they want to see further improvement in the labor market and inflation move back towards their 2% target.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged

Pre-Market Update: The bulls were testing the market’s upper resistance levels ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, but the initial rally faded following the news that the Fed elected to keep interest rates unchanged. The zombies said they want to see further improvement in the labor market and inflation move back towards their 2% target.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Electronic Arts (EA) at All-Time High Ahead of Earnings

Mid-Market Update: This morning, shares of Electronic Arts (EA, $75.99, up $0.72) cleared the previous 52-week and all-time high of $75.76 that was set in early August. Shares are up over 60% this year after coming into 2015 just north of $47. The Aug. 24 low reached $59.47, and the company is scheduled to release its latest earnings report after Thursday’s close.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Earnings for the Week

Mid-Market Update: While the height of third-quarter earnings season was last week, this week will be nearly as busy, as there are a number of marquee names scheduled to report their numbers to Wall Street. The flow of earnings will start to slow going into November and the week of Thanksgiving, but there will be earnings announcements into December as well.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Looking for Apple (APPL) Follow-Through

Pre-Market Update: The bulls got their third-straight weekly win, as the market cleared several layers of resistance throughout last week. The bears have rolled over in October, with volatility fading throughout the month. There is still a week of trading to go and another full slate of earnings before the month ends, but all signs are pointing toward a continued rally.

Scroll to Top