Momentum Options

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Fight Back

Pre-Market Update: The bears continued their assault to lower lows on Wednesday, and they were looking to get their third-straight win. However, the bulls fought back during the second half of trading to regain positive territory and keep the current trading range in play. Volatility was insane yesterday, but it tried to level out following the whipsaw action.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Back in Correction Territory

Pre-Market Update: The bears gained some momentum from Tuesday’s market losses, and the major indices closed at their backup support levels following the 2% pullback. Volatility was elevated, but it didn’t set off any alarm bells, as the VIX held resistance. However, the small-cap index led Tuesday’s tumble, and it is now down 22% from its 52-week high.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Get Third-Straight Monday Win; New Trade (RMBS)

Pre-Market Update: The bulls struggled from the start of Monday’s session, as fresh support was tested and stretched on the slight pullback, but they nearly got the win in the final hours of yesterday’s action. Tech managed to close in positive territory, and that sector of the market got some additional good news after the bell from Alphabet’s (GOOG, $752, up $9.05) impressive earnings report.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Pushes 20 on Rebound Rally

Pre-Market Update: The bulls survived another volatile week to get their second-straight weekly win as the bears retreated during Friday’s session. The surge and rebound past key resistance levels was a bullish sign after wrapping up the worst January since 2009. However, stronger overhead hurdles remain, and February is always a tricky month to trade.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Possible Trading Range Developing

Pre-Market Update: The back-and-forth action in the market continued on Thursday, as the bulls rebounded to push resistance once again. However, the tight trading range that has developed this week could carry over into next week if current levels hold. In any event, the bulls will be looking to keep their momentum today in order to end this horribly bearish January on a high note.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Fed Update Fails to Excite Wall Street

Pre-Market Update: The market struggled on Wednesday ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)’s latest policy statement, and the major indices ended the day by closing near their session lows. The zombies were slightly dovish in their update, but they left interest rates unchanged while saying that they are watching global market developments. They maintained their upbeat view of the U.S. economy, but it failed to attract buyers to the market.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Apple (AAPL) Tops Earnings Despite Light Revenue

Pre-Market Update: The bulls rebounded on Tuesday to push resistance, and they were looking for Apple (AAPL, $99.99, up $0.55) to announce an impressive quarter in order to keep their momentum. The bears were hoping for an earnings miss and a sour outlook, but both sides got their wish, as Apple topped earnings estimates while falling shy of Wall Street’s revenue forecasts.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Small-Caps Lead Monday’s Pullback

Pre-Market Update: The bulls failed to hold their momentum from last week on Monday, as the bears dominated trading during yesterday’s session. The losses were kept somewhat in check, however, with fresh support holding and volatility staying slightly relaxed. The action will likely pick up steam by the end of the week, as corporate earnings and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes will surely stir the pot.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Get Weekly Win

Pre-Market Update: The market had its first winning week of 2016 last week following a strong finish on Friday. However, two-straight winning sessions hardly makes for a trend, and it’s a little too soon to say that a “V-shaped” recovery is in store. On the other hand, the near-term outlook appears promising, as a number of the technical indicators I follow have turned bullish.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls, Bears and Blizzards

Mid-Market Update: With the East Coast on high alert due to blizzard-like conditions, the bears decided to hibernate for the day. The bulls are taking advantage of their inaction, and Wall Street is rushing to buy stocks ahead of the weekend. The market is on track to finish the week in the green for the first time in 2016, providing the current gains hold.

Momentum Options, Daily Update

VIX Holds 25

Pre-Market Update:The S&P 500 Volatility Index stayed subdued throughout the session before a late day surge to 27.59. The bulls held resistance at 27.50 with risk to 30-35, if breached. The bears held support at 25 following the morning trip to 25.21. The action in the VIX remains slightly bearish as there are additional layers of support at 23.50-22.50 that carry more weight.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Nasdaq Dips Below 4,500; Profit Alert (WMT)

Mid-Market Update: Futures were showing another bullish open this morning, and the subsequent action has played out much like it has for the past week. The opening rally faded again, but it happened much more quickly today than it has in prior sessions. Trading has been choppy since the open, but there are some important clues we need to watch into the closing bell.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Bounce Following Extended Slide

Pre-Market Update: The bulls battled the bears during Tuesday’s session, and both sides held their near-term support and resistance zones. Volatility pulled back a little, but it will likely heat up again as more fourth-quarter corporate earnings and economic news flow in over the rest of the week. A number of major earnings announcements from the financial sector, along with the retail sales report on Friday, should give us clues as to how the rest of January could play out.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Remain Under Pressure as Death Cross Forms on S&P; Profit Alert (C)

Pre-Market Update: The bulls rebounded on Monday to slow the bears’ momentum following another volatile day on Wall Street. The push to lower lows to start the week was another bearish sign, but the market showed a bit of resiliency throughout the session to keep the bullish hope alive. The weakness in tech and the small-caps remains a concern, but both held their key levels of support.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

#StayShort

Pre-Market Update: The start of 2016 greeted traders with a bearish thunder, as the market suffered its most volatile week in the history of Wall Street. The selling pressure was extended into Friday’s closing bell, with the bears pushing fresh lows. Volatility also spiked, and it is approaching the late-summer highs from last year.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Take Control; Trade Alerts (GRMN, IRBT, INTC)

Mid-Market Update: The last trading day of the year has historically been bearish for the Nasdaq, as the index has fallen nearly 80% of the time during this period over the past 15 years. This follows an incredible streak from the early 1970s up until 1999, during which time tech closed higher on the last trading session of the year for a remarkable 29-straight years.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Holds 17.50

Pre-Market Update: Santa has been missing for the past two sessions, and the bears took advantage of a nervous Wall Street on Monday to push the market’s near-term support levels. The technical picture worsened, but there were a couple of signals that showed that the bulls are still interested in pushing the tops of the current trading ranges.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bulls Looking for the Weekly Sweep

Pre-Market Update: The bulls took advantage of another strong rally on Wednesday to clear the indices’ major moving averages, and they are looking to end the week on an even higher note. The bears could end up hibernating into the end of the year, as today is the first “official” day of what may turn out to be a Santa Claus rally. However, volume has been light, and investors will need to decide if they are willing to hold stocks over the upcoming three-day weekend.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Closes Below 17.50

Pre-Market Update: Despite some early-morning weakness, the bulls continued their rebound on Tuesday to clear near-term resistance. Volatility continues to fall, but it is still slightly elevated, which is keeping the bears alive. A continued rally today could lead to a run towards the market’s upper resistance levels and the major moving averages.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bottoms of October Trading Ranges Back in Play

PreMarket Update: The bulls tried to hold on to the weekly win, but the bears used the final hour of trading last Friday to get the upset. The technical damage was severe, as the indices closed below their major moving averages. The December lows are holding, for the most part, but they will be in play again if there is no rebound today and if the bottoms of the mid-October trading ranges fail to hold.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Bears Continue Their Assault

Mid-Market Update: Believe it or not, fourth-quarter earnings season is less than a month away, and it will most likely have a major impact on how January’s market action unfolds. However, there are still a handful of companies that are scheduled to report earnings into the end of 2015. These companies are on different fiscal-year cycles, and their reports are worth watching, as they could offer clues as to what might be in store for next month.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Market Holds Gains as Fed Hikes Rates

Pre-Market Update: The Fed raised interest rates yesterday for the first time since June of 2006, and the bears ran for cover. The bulls pushed the market’s upper resistance levels and are once again eyeballing a run to all-time highs. There are only 10 trading days left in the year, and this Friday is “quadruple witching” day, which is when contracts for stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures all expire. With volatility still slightly elevated, the bulls will need to keep their momentum if they want to finish the year in positive territory.

Momentum Options

New Trades (GE); Trade Update (IRBT)

Buy to open the GE January 31 calls (GE160115C00031000, $0.47, up $0.11) at current levels.

Buy to open the GE February 32 calls (GE160219C00032000, $0.40, up $0.05) at current levels.

Raise the Exit Target to from $2.20 to $3.00 on the IRBT January 34 calls.

Raise the Stop Limit order from $1.30 to $1.50 on the IRBT January 34 calls.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

Fed on Deck

Mid-Market Update: Futures were strong throughout the night and into this morning’s open as the market prepared itself for today’s big decision on interest rates. The opening rally pushed up against resistance but has since faded, and the major indices are now flat heading into the final hours of trading.

Daily Update, Momentum Options

VIX Holds 20 Ahead of Fed Update

Pre-Market Update: The bulls are right where they want to be ahead of today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on interest rates. It remains to be seen if last week’s test to the bottom of October’s trading range will lead to a retest of the top of the range and a possible breakout, but the action is playing out just like we have planned following tax-loss-selling season.

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